The Importance of Remaining Disciplined with Asset Allocation, Ep #254

We invest in large companies, small companies, value companies, international companies, emerging markets, etc. We practice discipline when investing in all of these asset classes. If we want 20% of a portfolio allocated to large value, we maintain that percentage.

We also practice strategic rebalancing. If something has an upward momentum, we set tolerance zones. If we go above or below those tolerances, we buy or sell. We practice discipline. Why? I share more in this episode of Best in Wealth.

Outline of This Episode

• [1:02] The importance of reading the full story
• [3:13] Why we practice discipline in asset classes
• [8:00] Taking a look at the big picture
• [11:02] Developed markets vs emerging markets
• [13:23] A disciplined approach to investing matters

Why we practice discipline in asset classes

By the end of the third quarter of 2024, the S&P 500 was up almost 20%. It’s up another 6% since then. The S&P 500 is one of our best-performing asset classes. If we’re just reading the headline, “The S&P 500 is doing the best,” we might think we should put more money in. But hindsight is 2020.

And if we’d listened to the experts, many of them said that small-caps were going to perform the best in 2024. But small-caps are only up a little over 10% after the third quarter. It’s also gone up 6–8% since then but is still underperforming the S&P 500.

If we’d listened to the experts, we’d be tempted to put more money into small-caps. But that’s not the right decision either. We need to remain disciplined to our plan for each asset class.

Taking a look at the big picture

Looking back 95 years, the small-cap index has done better than the large-cap index. We call this the small-cap premium. However, it comes with more risk. Because of the risk, investors demand a higher average return for owning smaller companies.

Our portfolios skew more large than small because of the risk. However, we do want to capitalize on some of those returns—but not because of headlines.

If you choose something riskier, it won’t always do better. On average, stocks do better than bonds because they’re riskier—but it doesn’t mean stocks always beat bonds.

Developed market small-caps on average bean developed markets large-caps by about a percent and a half per year. Small-caps over the last 20 years perform better than large-caps in emerging markets.

Remember, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Have small-caps have underperformed large-caps in the recent past? Yes. Does that mean we abandon small-caps? No? Does that mean the premium is gone? We don’t think so.

A disciplined approach to investing matters

We need to investigate every headline that we read because they don’t tell the full story. If we’re just reading the headlines, we might make an emotional decision about asset allocation. We can’t try to guess which asset class will do the best. When we do that, we’re putting our family and our future in jeopardy. A disciplined approach to investing matters. Learn more in this episode of Best in Wealth.

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Podcast Disclaimer:

The Best In Wealth Podcast is hosted by Scott Wellens. Scott Wellens is the principal at Fortress Planning Group. Fortress Planning Group is a registered investment advisory firm regulated by the Securities Act of Wisconsin in accordance and compliance with securities laws and regulations. Fortress Planning Group does not render or offer to render personalized investment or tax advice through the Best In Wealth Podcast. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, investment or legal advice.

About the author, Scott Wellens

Scott Wellens, CFP® is an investment advisor and founder of Fortress Planning Group. After earning his Bachelor of Science degree from the University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh, Scott quickly ascended to become a Vice President of North American Sales at a major regional provider of telecommunications infrastructure. While financially successful in this role, Scott searched for ways to pursue his passion related to financial literacy and providing financial freedom for both his own family and others. During his search, Scott became curious about the significant gap he found in the financial services sector: he was unable to find a comprehensive financial planner that maintained a family stewardship lens without being attached to financial products. Scott decided to fill that gap by creating his own planning firm that maintains a strong passion for comprehensive, unbiased wealth planning that is genuinely client-centered.

Scott resides in Menomonee Falls, WI with his family. He is the father of three active and independent daughters who keep him on his toes. Scott is an active community member, serving on the Hamilton Education Foundation Board, serves as a Dave Ramsey Financial Peace facilitator and leads the All Pro Dad’s group at their local elementary school. Scott enjoys spending his free time visiting state parks with his family, reading, and watching the Milwaukee Bucks and the Green Bay Packers win ball games.

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